Anticipating the atmosphere: a look at the modern weather forecast process

The Australian Meteorological & Oceanographic Society,
Australian Meteorological Association,
and Australian Institute of Physics

present a Public Lecture

Time and place: Kerr Grant Lecture Theatre, Physics Bldg.,
University of Adelaide,

at 6:30 p.m. on Thursday 2 November 2017.

“Anticipating the atmosphere: a look at the modern weather forecast process”

Benjamin Owen

Meteorologist, South Australian Regional Forecasting Centre
Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Our complex relationship with the world around is no more apparent than that we share with the weather. On a personal level, weather has the potential to make or break our day, whether it be warm and sunny or cold, wet and windy. From a commercial perspective, weather plays a critical role to a range of important industries which include aviation, agriculture and energy. And probably on the most profound level, weather has the potential to deliver catastrophic destruction in a relatively short time frame. It is therefore unsurprising that we depend on weather forecasts to best prepare and respond to the future weather as appropriate.

Over the past 50 years, our ability to accurately predict the weather has improved dramatically. While our understanding of the atmosphere has certainly evolved over this time, the most significant advances have come through improvements in the tools a forecaster has at their disposal. Where the challenge of 50 years ago was trying to make a forecast from the sparse information available, the challenge today is trying to create the best possible forecast from the vast amount of information available. In this talk, we take a look at exactly how forecasters go about creating a weather forecast, considering the tools used to capture the current and future state of the atmosphere, and how these are used to translate this into the forecast that is sent out to the world.

Please enter via the eastern door of the Physics building, from the roadway between the Scott Theatre and the Hub Building. There will be a person at the door to let people into the building until 6:30 p.m.  Refreshments will be available in Room G10 on the ground floor from 6:00 p.m.

For more details, contact Murray Hamilton, chair of the AMOS South Australia branch (murray.hamilton@adelaide.edu.au). If there are issues with access on the night, please phone 0478 453 642.